I have two distinct lives. One in the trenches of low-budget film and television, the other in professional gambling. Because of the feast-or-famine nature of show business I need a reliable income... gambling. So here you will read about both worlds. Enjoy!

Thursday, January 20, 2022

Gambling With an Edge - guest Jack Allweil

 Our guest this week is Jack Allweil.  Jack wrote a book called "Make Better Bets: An Actuary's Quest to Bet the Russian 2018 FIFA World Cup with Excel." We talk to Jack about his book, and his experience betting the last World Cup.

We welcome your questions - send them to us at, or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter or

Show Notes 

[00:00]  introduction Jack Allweil, author of Make Better Bets
[00:35]  Betting on soccer
[03:04]  Using a model with few variables
[05:31]  Time spent on the model, benefits of a passion project
[07:14]  How much data from 2018 will be relevant in 2022?
[09:22]  Other potential variables, like country popularity skewing lines, VAR reviews
[11:16]  Getting bets down
[12:50]  Analyzing the 2018 results
[15:03]  Betting on all four teams in a group
[18:08]  Line shopping
[20:33]  Relocating to bet more easily
[21:58]  How did losing a job change Jack's life?
[24:20]  Jack's wife, Elena
[25:52]  Betting other soccer leagues
[27:03]  What's the next big thing that Jack will be betting on?
[28:38]  South Point Casino January Promotion - $500k Spin to Win
[31:12] - card counting training site and advantage play community with software and tracking tools
[31:45] - Gold Membership offers correction on most games, free Pro Membership trial for GWAE listeners
[32:58]  Choosing the name Make Better Bets
[34:59]  Kelly criteria
[37:26]  Betting as a married man
[39:33]  Brothers on Books podcast
[40:53]  Contacting Jack
[41:47]  Recommended:  Cryptonomicon by Neal Stephenson, Libby app for libraries, Wall Street Bets by Jaime Rogozinski

Sponsored Links:

Books Referenced:
Make Better Bets by Jack Allweil

Guest Links:

Cryptonomicon by Neal Stephenson
Wall Street Bets by Jaime Rogozinski

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