Gambling With an Edge - Super Bowl 2018

Our guests this week are Frank B. and Anthony Curtis. We discuss this week's super bowl, and talk about proposition bets. We focus not just on good bets to make, but more importantly on how sharp players think and analyze bets in order to get an edge.

podcast
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Show Notes

[00:37] http://fivethirtyeight.com/

[02:04] How does public's sentiment apply to bettors? Getting an advantage over the over-reacting public

[07:13] Betting props: who would be some of the more interesting players for New England?

[11:33] The effect of specific players in the New England Super Bowl

[16:58] Cross sports prop bets and the basic strategy

[29:31] The value on the rushing yards for the quarterbacks

[32:19] Betting no safety, no overtime, and no 2 point conversions, no 3 point margin of victory (bridge jumper bet of sorts)

[42:18] Over/Under on field goals

[45:13] Market Efficiency and the basic strategy for sports betting

[47:51] Interesting off the wall props this year