Gambling With an Edge - Frank B on Super Bowl 2023

Our guest this week is sports bettor Frank B, on to talk about betting this year's Super Bowl.

We welcome your questions - send them to us at gamblingwithanedge@gmail.com, or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter or https://www.facebook.com/GamblingWithAnEdge.

Podcast - https://www.spreaker.com/user/7418966/sbowl2023

Show Notes

[00:00]  Introduction of sports bettor Frank B

[00:43]  Hedging, vig, psychological and bankroll considerations

[04:50]  Ratio of overs to unders

[07;30]  Same game parlays

[10:00]  Calculating standard parlay payouts

[13:16]  Differences in Super Bowl betting in different states

[21:30]  Opportunities created by a weekend influx of recreational bettors

[23:51]  Kiosks, apps, and betting in Nevada

[28:33]  What lines are likely to be moved by recreational bettors?

[30:34]  Patrick Mahomes

[31:41]  Imbalances in regional lines

[33:21]  Commercials

[35:41]  Cross sports bets

[43:21]  Resetting of slot machines

[50:40]  Recommended:  The Pez Outlaw on Netflix, Las Vegas Advisor sportsbook deal in Arizona

Sponsored Links:

http://Unabated.com

http://VideoPoker.com/gwae

http://Store.BlackjackApprenticeship.com

Recommended:

http://Netflix.com/title/81641996

http://Lasvegasadvisor.com

Gambling With an Edge - Jim & Dan Pasko

Our guests this week are Jim Pasko, and his son Dan.  Jim has been one of the best backgammon players in the world for 40 years, and together with his son Dan they have been very successful as sports bettors, primarily focused on prop bets. 

We welcome your questions - send them to us at gamblingwithanedge@gmail.com, or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter or https://www.facebook.com/GamblingWithAnEdge.

Podcast - https://www.spreaker.com/user/7418966/paskos


Show Notes

[00:00]  Introduction of gamblers, Jim and Dan Pasko

[00:35]  Does Jim still play backgammon?

[03:17]  Studying backgammon before bots, taking risk

[09:33]  Cheating stories from The Cavendish, scams, magnetic dice

[17:06]  Sport betting

[19:36]  Jim and Dan's background in math

[23:29]  Betting football and nba props, increasing market efficiency

[26:37]  Solving problems for other bettors, combinatorics

[29:12]  Erosion of edges as markets change and evolve

[32:42]  SouthPointCasino.com

[33:36]  BlackjackApprenticeship.com

[34:20]  VideoPoker.com/gwae

[35:22]  Unabated.com

[35:58]  How to  contact Jim and Dan 

[37:15]  Backgammon, learning curves, Stu Ungar

[41:51]  Bomb pots

[49:06]  Recommended;  The Great on Hulu, The Duke, Good Will Hunting, Tombstone

Sponsored Links:

http://SouthPointCasino.com

http://BlackjackApprenticeship.com

http://VideoPoker.com/gwae

http://Unabated.com

Recommended:

"The Great" http://Hulu.com/series/the-great

"The Duke" http://Mubi.com/films/the-duke-2020

"Good Will Hunting" http://Miramax.com/movie/good-will-hunting

"Tombstone" http://Imdb.com/title/tt0108358/

Gambling With an Edge - Super Bowl 2022

Our guests this week are Captain Jack Andrews, and Rufus Peabody on to talk about Super Bowl 2022. 

 We welcome your questions - send them to us at gamblingwithanedge@gmail.com, or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter or https://www.facebook.com/GamblingWithAnEdge.

 

Show Notes

[00:00]  Introduction of Rufus Peabody and Captain Jack Andrews from Unabated.com

[00:47]  Prop bet content and upcoming Unabated livestreams

[03:54]  Real-time offerings at Unabated.com

[05:55]  Deckprism

[08:32]  Rufus's videos illustrate  his prop analysis framework

[10:54]  Square bet flow

[12:38]  Line differences across states, opening kickoff touchback prop

[16:01]  Bridge jumpers that might offer value

[19:17]  3-point margin of victory

[23:17]  Over/Under on number of field goals

[26:07]  Rule changes that impact scoring

[27:34]  South Point Casino Promotions - $500k Hot Seat in January, Feb $500k Crazy Cupid's Money Madness casino-wide progressives

[28:43]  http://BlackjackApprenticeship.com - card counting training site and advantage play community with software and tracking tools

[29:25]  http://VideoPoker.com/gwae - Gold Membership offers correction on most games, free Pro Membership trial for GWAE listeners

[30:59]  http://Unabated.com prop bet simulator

[35:33]  Is Unabated.com still free?

[37:21]  Bet Bash

[39:30]  Late bets on the Super Bowl

[45:29]  Cross-sports bets

[47:20]  Novelty prop insider information

[48:46]  No two-point conversion bet

[51:20]  Recommended:  Reacher on Amazon, Will Power Doesn't Work by Benjamin Hardy, Esther's Kitchen, Jezebel

Sponsored Links:

http://SouthPointCasino.com

http://BlackjackApprenticeship.com

http://VideoPoker.com/gwae

Guest Links:

Saturday 2/12 Super Stream https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BRNJjmVxV1g

http://Unabated.com

http://Twitter.com/UnabatedSports

http://Twitter.com/rufuspeabody

http://Twitter.com/capjack2000

http://Youtube.com/c/CaptainJackAndrews

Recommended:

http://Amazon.com/Reacher-Season-1/dp/B09MKZTJF4

Will Power Doesn't Work by Benjamin Hardy https://amzn.to/3GG05Be

http://Estherslv.com

Jezebel https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0030287/

Gambling With an Edge - guest Captain Jack Andrews

Our guest this week is Captain Jack Andrews. Recently Captain Jack has been producing a considerable amount of quality YouTube videos on the art and science of sports betting.

We welcome your questions - send them to us at gamblingwithanedge@gmail.com, or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter or https://www.facebook.com/GamblingWithAnEdge.

podcast
Click to listen - Alt click to download

Show Notes

[00:00] Introduction of sports bettor and GWAE contributor, Captain Jack Andrews

[00:39] Captain Jack's Youtube Channel

[08:38] Daily fantasy sports market

[10:30] Does educating suckers ultimately affect vig?

[13:09] How to find Captain Jack's broadcasts

[16:56] Captain Jack's chat with Rufus Peabody and Spanky

[20:38] South Point Hotel and Casino - more than 10,000 games returning over 99%

[21:26] Predictit.org/promo/edge - place small wagers on various political events, $20 deposit match for GWAE listeners

[22:45] BlackjackApprenticeship.com - card counting training site and community

[23:34] VideoPoker.com/gwae - Gold Membership offers correction on most games

[24:51] Captain Jack's online icon

[27:43] American Bettors Coalition
[33:35] Will the NFL play a full schedule?

[34:54] Billy Walters

[37:35] Could playing football in empty stadiums affect home field advantage?

[40:11] Futures bets and opportunity costs

[42:17] Tips to trim house edge, save time, handicap, etc

[45:53] Beating lines versus shopping lines

[50:00] Captain Jack's future content and target audiences


Sponsored Links:
SouthPointCasino.com
Predictit.org/promo/edge
BlackjackApprenticeship.com

VideoPoker.com/gwae


Captain Jack's Links:
Youtube.com/channel/UC5qdmM1k5chVxcUuF56sLuQ
LasVegasAdvisor.com/gambling-with-an-edge/author/captain-jack/
Twitter.com/capjack2000

Links Referenced:
AmericanBettorsCoalition.org
Twitter.com/americanbettor


Books Referenced:
Sharp Sports Betting by Stanford Wong https://amzn.to/3dI5rhi
The Logic of Sports Betting by Ed Miller and Matthew Davidow https://amzn.to/2LyDlZH

Gambling With an Edge - Super Bowl 2020

Our guests this week are Frank B. and Anthony Curtis on to talk about Super Bowl 2020.

We welcome your questions - send them to us at gamblingwithanedge@gmail.com, or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter.

podcast
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Show Notes

[00:00]  Introduction of professor sports bettor, Frank B, and Anthony Curtis, publisher of The Huntington Press and The Las Vegas Advisor

[00:32]  Super Bowl prop bets

[01:55]  Do different states offer unique prop bets?

[06:37]  Garoppolo passing attempts prop bet

[08:12]  Mostert rushing yards prop bet

[11:42]  Middling in the Super Bowl

[12:29]  Is it harder to handicap teams that haven't been in the Super Bowl recently?

[13:25]  Prop bet limits

[17:57]  What are the things that Frank looks for?

[20:42]  Cross-sport prop bet analysis

[22:55]  Kobe Bryant prop bets

[30:08]  South Point Casino February Promotion - Free buffets, email promotion, free video poker classes

[32:43]  Predictit.org/promo/edge - place small bets on political events, $20 deposit match for GWAE listeners

[33:41]  BlackjackApprenticeship.com - card counting training site, Las Vegas boot camp 4/4-4/5

[34:24]  VideoPoker.com/GWAE - Gold Membership offers correction on most games, game of the week is Face Card Frenzy

[35:25]  What other exotic bets are interesting?

[43:45]  Fun places to watch the Super Bowl in Las Vegas

[48:59] Recommended - Closeup with the Hollywood Reporter, The Outsider, and Geeks Who Drink Trivia

Sponsored Links:

SouthPointCasino.com

Predictit.org/promo/edge

BlackjackApprenticeship.com

VideoPoker.com/GWAE

BobDancer.com/seminars

Youtube.com/user/bjavideos

Links from Guests

LasVegasAdvisor.com

TheHuntingtonPress.com

Recommended:

Sundancetv.com/shows/close-up-with-the-hollywood-reporter

Hbo.com/the-outsider

GeeksWhoDrink.com

Episodes Referenced:

LasVegasAdvisor.com/gambling-with-an-edge/podcast-the-inside-story-of-mattress-mack/

LasVegasAdvisor.com /gambling-with-an-edge/podcast-the-inside-story-of-mattress-mack-part-2/

Gambling With an Edge - guests Ed Miller and Matt Davidow

Our guests this week are Ed Miller and Matt Davidow.  They are on to talk about their new book, "The Logic of Sports Betting." While the book is geared to be for beginners, there's a lot of information here that both Bob and I found new and interesting.

We welcome your questions - send them to us at gamblingwithanedge@gmail.com, or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter.

podcast
Click to listen - Alt click to download

Show Notes

[00:00] Introduction of Ed Miller and Matthew Davidow, authors of The Logic of Sports Betting

[00:30] What is The Logic of Sports Betting about?

[02:47] In-play betting models

[12:09] Market-making sports books vs retail sports books

[16:02] Why are derivatives often better bets than sides or totals?

[18:14] How much math do professional bettors need to know?

[22:54] South Point Casino June Promotions - Chevron and Walmart gift cards promotion

[23:33] VideoPoker.com - Gold Membership offers correction on most games

[24:30] How to bet bonuses and promotions

[27:55] Parlays and parlay cards

[34:36] Can sports bets be made on desktop computers?

[36:07] "Chopping the hold"

[43:21] Informational disadvantages and the timing of in--play bets

[52:32] DeckPrismSports.com and other online info for Ed and Matthew

SouthPointCasino.com
VideoPoker.com
DeckPrismSports.com
Twitter.com/EdMillerPoker
Twitter.com/davidowmatthew

"The Logic of Sports Betting" https://amzn.to/2WciyOB

Gambling With an Edge - Mike Shackleford

Our guest this week is Mike Shackleford of the Wizard of Odds, and Wizard of Vegas websites. Mike is a former cohost of Gambling With an Edge, and his websites are the number one resource when people need information about casino games. This week we talk about a huge score made recently in Atlantic City playing a slot machine called Ocean Magic.

We welcome your questions - send them to us at gamblingwithanedge@gmail.com, or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter.

podcast
Click to listen - Alt click to download

Show Notes

[00;00] Introduction of Michael Shackleford, The Wizard of Odds
[00:29] The Ocean Magic online play in New Jersey
[02:26] Listener question about a 2-million hand sample in video blackjack
[12:33] Ocean Magic strategy explanation
[19:40] Odds of a perfect March Madness bracket
[24:34] The 2nd Edition of Mike's book, Gambling 102
[27:42] South Point Casino March Promotions: Extra Free Play
[28:12] VideoPoker.com: Gold Membership offers corrections on most games
[31:02] Burning Man discussion
[34:56] Betting on the Academy Awards
[36:52] Betting $67,000 on the Warriors to win $670.
[37:54] Betting on the presidential election
[39:03] Listener question about counting the "Bust Bonus" side bet
[41:02] Listener question about CTRs and slots
[45:23] Listener question about getting backed off in California
[48:04] Listener question about cashing out $1400 in $100 chips
[51:32] Listener question about using a pencil and paper
[53:44] Listener question about beating a 6:5 blackjack game

Wizardofodds.com/games/slots/ocean-magic
Wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/slots/32613-ocean-magic

Njonlinegambling.com/advantage-players-nj-online-casinos-win

Barstoolsports.com/barstoolu/some-brave-soul-put-67000-on-the-warriors-to-make-the-playoffs-and-won-a-whopping-670

Qfit.com

SouthPointCasino.com

VideoPoker.com

Gambling With an Edge - Math Boy

Our guest this week is Math Boy, a former player who used mathematical techniques to beat the house. He speaks about a lot of promotions over the years that have been very lucrative.

podcast
click to listen - alt click to download

Show Notes

[00:00] Introduction of Mathboy, an AP with a PhD in mathematics
[00:39] How did Mathboy get started as an AP?
[01:21] Was Mathboy beating casinos before he got his PhD?
[02:00} Discussion of Mathboy's early online gambling experiences.
[14:26] Discussion of potential opportunities in newly legalized sports betting markets.
[17:37] Mathboy's unique approach to loss rebates.
[22:52] Mayboy's story about meeting Bob in in the early 2000's
[26:17] Mathboy discusses a 2001 play at Greek Town casino in Detroit.
[36:23] What was Mathboy's strategy at Three Card Poker?
[42:17] South Point Casino - January promotions and free video poker classes
[44:57] VideoPoker.com - Game of the Week: Max Action Poker
[46:28] What is Mathboy's video poker variance-splitting pool?
[53:20] Bob and Mathboy discuss their video poker speed-related strategies.
[57:04] Harrah's New Orleans Rolex promotion.

Sponsors
SouthPointCasino.com
VideoPoker.com/gwae

Gambling With an Edge - Poker Pro, Tony part 2

Bob and Richard visit with poker player Tony in the second of two back-to-back interviews. We speak of how the UIGEA and Bitcoin regulation are related, cheating in poker, online tells, and being clipped in a European strip club.

podcast
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Show Notes

Gambling With an Edge - Poker Pro, Tony

Bob and Richard visit with poker player Tony in the first of two back-to-back interviews. We speak about how he got started, his WSOP bracelet, and his experience playing in Macau,  among other topics.

podcast
Click to listen - Alt-click to download

Show Notes

[00:35] Tony’s first poker BR and rebooting

[04:30] Live poker and underage gambling

[09:39] Limit Hold ‘em bots

[14:59] WSoP event where Tony won the bracelet

[17:56] The Macau gold rush and money exchange

[21:48] Differences between Limit and No Limit

[23:35] Tournament v.s. Cash games & Tony’s take on mixed games

[32:15] Cases and how to handle cheating in poker for both online and offline games

[45:31] Online tells

[48:41] What are the big mistakes that online poker players make?

[51:57] Poker resources   

Gambling With an Edge - Super Bowl 2018

Our guests this week are Frank B. and Anthony Curtis. We discuss this week's super bowl, and talk about proposition bets. We focus not just on good bets to make, but more importantly on how sharp players think and analyze bets in order to get an edge.

podcast
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Show Notes

[00:37] http://fivethirtyeight.com/

[02:04] How does public's sentiment apply to bettors? Getting an advantage over the over-reacting public

[07:13] Betting props: who would be some of the more interesting players for New England?

[11:33] The effect of specific players in the New England Super Bowl

[16:58] Cross sports prop bets and the basic strategy

[29:31] The value on the rushing yards for the quarterbacks

[32:19] Betting no safety, no overtime, and no 2 point conversions, no 3 point margin of victory (bridge jumper bet of sorts)

[42:18] Over/Under on field goals

[45:13] Market Efficiency and the basic strategy for sports betting

[47:51] Interesting off the wall props this year

Gambling With an Edge - guest Brian Zembic - The Man With the $100,000 Breasts

Our guest this week is Brian Zembic, also known as The Man With the $100,000 Breasts. His story was first told in the book with that title. Basically Brian put in breast implants to win a $100,000 bet.  The man who lost the bet, Mike Svobodny told his side of the story in Gambling Wizards.  Now we get the story straight from the horse's mouth, and ask him why he still has those implants 20 years later. Near the end of the show we discuss Brian's daughter's playing of the song Toxicity.  Here is the link. Toxicity

podcast

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