Gambling With an Edge - Super Bowl 2024

Gambling With an Edge is back with Bob and I talking to Anthony Curtis, and Frank B. We talk about the Super Bowl coming here to Las Vegas, and then talk about other things happening around town. 

 podcast - https://www.spreaker.com/episode/super-bowl-2024--58548259

Gambling With an Edge - Frank B on Super Bowl 2023

Our guest this week is sports bettor Frank B, on to talk about betting this year's Super Bowl.

We welcome your questions - send them to us at gamblingwithanedge@gmail.com, or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter or https://www.facebook.com/GamblingWithAnEdge.

Podcast - https://www.spreaker.com/user/7418966/sbowl2023

Show Notes

[00:00]  Introduction of sports bettor Frank B

[00:43]  Hedging, vig, psychological and bankroll considerations

[04:50]  Ratio of overs to unders

[07;30]  Same game parlays

[10:00]  Calculating standard parlay payouts

[13:16]  Differences in Super Bowl betting in different states

[21:30]  Opportunities created by a weekend influx of recreational bettors

[23:51]  Kiosks, apps, and betting in Nevada

[28:33]  What lines are likely to be moved by recreational bettors?

[30:34]  Patrick Mahomes

[31:41]  Imbalances in regional lines

[33:21]  Commercials

[35:41]  Cross sports bets

[43:21]  Resetting of slot machines

[50:40]  Recommended:  The Pez Outlaw on Netflix, Las Vegas Advisor sportsbook deal in Arizona

Sponsored Links:

http://Unabated.com

http://VideoPoker.com/gwae

http://Store.BlackjackApprenticeship.com

Recommended:

http://Netflix.com/title/81641996

http://Lasvegasadvisor.com

Gambling With an Edge - Super Bowl 2022

Our guests this week are Captain Jack Andrews, and Rufus Peabody on to talk about Super Bowl 2022. 

 We welcome your questions - send them to us at gamblingwithanedge@gmail.com, or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter or https://www.facebook.com/GamblingWithAnEdge.

 

Show Notes

[00:00]  Introduction of Rufus Peabody and Captain Jack Andrews from Unabated.com

[00:47]  Prop bet content and upcoming Unabated livestreams

[03:54]  Real-time offerings at Unabated.com

[05:55]  Deckprism

[08:32]  Rufus's videos illustrate  his prop analysis framework

[10:54]  Square bet flow

[12:38]  Line differences across states, opening kickoff touchback prop

[16:01]  Bridge jumpers that might offer value

[19:17]  3-point margin of victory

[23:17]  Over/Under on number of field goals

[26:07]  Rule changes that impact scoring

[27:34]  South Point Casino Promotions - $500k Hot Seat in January, Feb $500k Crazy Cupid's Money Madness casino-wide progressives

[28:43]  http://BlackjackApprenticeship.com - card counting training site and advantage play community with software and tracking tools

[29:25]  http://VideoPoker.com/gwae - Gold Membership offers correction on most games, free Pro Membership trial for GWAE listeners

[30:59]  http://Unabated.com prop bet simulator

[35:33]  Is Unabated.com still free?

[37:21]  Bet Bash

[39:30]  Late bets on the Super Bowl

[45:29]  Cross-sports bets

[47:20]  Novelty prop insider information

[48:46]  No two-point conversion bet

[51:20]  Recommended:  Reacher on Amazon, Will Power Doesn't Work by Benjamin Hardy, Esther's Kitchen, Jezebel

Sponsored Links:

http://SouthPointCasino.com

http://BlackjackApprenticeship.com

http://VideoPoker.com/gwae

Guest Links:

Saturday 2/12 Super Stream https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BRNJjmVxV1g

http://Unabated.com

http://Twitter.com/UnabatedSports

http://Twitter.com/rufuspeabody

http://Twitter.com/capjack2000

http://Youtube.com/c/CaptainJackAndrews

Recommended:

http://Amazon.com/Reacher-Season-1/dp/B09MKZTJF4

Will Power Doesn't Work by Benjamin Hardy https://amzn.to/3GG05Be

http://Estherslv.com

Jezebel https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0030287/

Gambling With an Edge - Super Bowl 2021

Our guests this week are Frank B. and Anthony Curtis. They join us to talk about the Super Bowl, Mattress Mac, and prop bets.

We welcome your questions - send them to us at gamblingwithanedge@gmail.com, or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter or https://www.facebook.com/GamblingWithAnEdge.

podcast
Click to listen - Alt click to download

Show Notes

[00:00] Introduction of Frank B and Anthony Curtis
[00:29] Mattress Mack's Super Bowl promotion
[07:49] Frank's experience gambling in Mexico
[13:40] Las Vegas market discussion - promotions, rules, coupons, etc
[18:48] Super Bowl props
[23:48] South Point Casino February Promotions - "Free Play with a Kicker" and a $30k Presidents' Day Hot Seat
[24:28] Predicitit.org/promo/edge - place small bets on various political events, $20 deposit match for GWAE listeners

[25:13] BlackjackApprenticeship.com - card counting website and community
[26:10] VideoPoker.com/gwae - Gold Membership offers correction on most games, free Pro Membership trial for GWAE listeners
[27:04] The anti-public and props
[33:04] Cross sports props
[40:18] Patrick Mahomes rushing yards prop
[44:39] Super Bowl parties in Las Vegas
[47:53] Recommended - "Can't Stop the Game Stop" episode of Planet Money, The Evening and the Morning by Ken Follett, Las Vegas Advisor YouTube channel, Mr. D's Sports Bar


Sponsored Links:
SouthPointCasino.com
Predictit.org/promo/edge
BlackjackApprenticeship.com
VideoPoker.com/gwae


Recommended:
Npr.org/2021/01/30/962417570/bonus-cant-stop-gamestop

The Evening and the Morning by Ken Follett https://amzn.to/36FmZcY

Youtube.com/watch?v=5NWorFK1ucQ&ab_channel=LasVegasAdvisor

Mrdssportsbar.com/


Guest Links:
LasVegasAdvisor.com

Gambling With an Edge - Super Bowl 2020

Our guests this week are Frank B. and Anthony Curtis on to talk about Super Bowl 2020.

We welcome your questions - send them to us at gamblingwithanedge@gmail.com, or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter.

podcast
Click to listen - Alt click to download

Show Notes

[00:00]  Introduction of professor sports bettor, Frank B, and Anthony Curtis, publisher of The Huntington Press and The Las Vegas Advisor

[00:32]  Super Bowl prop bets

[01:55]  Do different states offer unique prop bets?

[06:37]  Garoppolo passing attempts prop bet

[08:12]  Mostert rushing yards prop bet

[11:42]  Middling in the Super Bowl

[12:29]  Is it harder to handicap teams that haven't been in the Super Bowl recently?

[13:25]  Prop bet limits

[17:57]  What are the things that Frank looks for?

[20:42]  Cross-sport prop bet analysis

[22:55]  Kobe Bryant prop bets

[30:08]  South Point Casino February Promotion - Free buffets, email promotion, free video poker classes

[32:43]  Predictit.org/promo/edge - place small bets on political events, $20 deposit match for GWAE listeners

[33:41]  BlackjackApprenticeship.com - card counting training site, Las Vegas boot camp 4/4-4/5

[34:24]  VideoPoker.com/GWAE - Gold Membership offers correction on most games, game of the week is Face Card Frenzy

[35:25]  What other exotic bets are interesting?

[43:45]  Fun places to watch the Super Bowl in Las Vegas

[48:59] Recommended - Closeup with the Hollywood Reporter, The Outsider, and Geeks Who Drink Trivia

Sponsored Links:

SouthPointCasino.com

Predictit.org/promo/edge

BlackjackApprenticeship.com

VideoPoker.com/GWAE

BobDancer.com/seminars

Youtube.com/user/bjavideos

Links from Guests

LasVegasAdvisor.com

TheHuntingtonPress.com

Recommended:

Sundancetv.com/shows/close-up-with-the-hollywood-reporter

Hbo.com/the-outsider

GeeksWhoDrink.com

Episodes Referenced:

LasVegasAdvisor.com/gambling-with-an-edge/podcast-the-inside-story-of-mattress-mack/

LasVegasAdvisor.com /gambling-with-an-edge/podcast-the-inside-story-of-mattress-mack-part-2/

Gambling With an Edge - guests Ed Miller and Matt Davidow

Our guests this week are Ed Miller and Matt Davidow.  They are on to talk about their new book, "The Logic of Sports Betting." While the book is geared to be for beginners, there's a lot of information here that both Bob and I found new and interesting.

We welcome your questions - send them to us at gamblingwithanedge@gmail.com, or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter.

podcast
Click to listen - Alt click to download

Show Notes

[00:00] Introduction of Ed Miller and Matthew Davidow, authors of The Logic of Sports Betting

[00:30] What is The Logic of Sports Betting about?

[02:47] In-play betting models

[12:09] Market-making sports books vs retail sports books

[16:02] Why are derivatives often better bets than sides or totals?

[18:14] How much math do professional bettors need to know?

[22:54] South Point Casino June Promotions - Chevron and Walmart gift cards promotion

[23:33] VideoPoker.com - Gold Membership offers correction on most games

[24:30] How to bet bonuses and promotions

[27:55] Parlays and parlay cards

[34:36] Can sports bets be made on desktop computers?

[36:07] "Chopping the hold"

[43:21] Informational disadvantages and the timing of in--play bets

[52:32] DeckPrismSports.com and other online info for Ed and Matthew

SouthPointCasino.com
VideoPoker.com
DeckPrismSports.com
Twitter.com/EdMillerPoker
Twitter.com/davidowmatthew

"The Logic of Sports Betting" https://amzn.to/2WciyOB

Gambling With an Edge - Sports bettor Rufus Peabody

Our guests this week is professional sports bettor Rufus Peabody,  who tells the story about being shut out of a $1 million first prize at the Draft Kings NFL handicapping contest. We also discuss his sports betting process, and his podcast, Bet The Process.

podcast
click to listen - alt click to download

Show Notes

[00:00] Introduction of Rufus Peabody, professional sports bettor

[00:30] How did Rufus get involved in sports betting?

[03:19] Besides econometrics, what other mathematical experience does Rufus have?

[04:22] Does Rufus wish that he had an alias?

[04:59] Draft Kings contest: overlay, parlays, strategy, bet grading

[14:13] Did Rufus' Super Bowl portfolio do well?

[16:01] Where did Rufus watch the Super Bowl?

[16:30] "Bet the Process" podcast with Rufus and Jeff Ma

[19:42] Rufus' NFL consulting experience

[21:35] What teams are most likely to embrace analytics?

[23:23] Should an NFL trailing by 3 points call a time out before the 2-minute warning?

[25:00] South Point February promotions - casino-wide progressives, President's Day $32k give away, free video poker classes

[26:43] VideoPoker.com - Game of the Week is "Face Card Frenzy"

[27:24] Where does Rufus release his picks?

[27:56] Does Rufus mostly bet sides and totals?

[28:57] How does Rufus balance the pros and cons of early betting and late betting?

[30:04] Does Rufus watch games?

[31:31] Does Rufus like bridge jumper bets like "no safety?"

[33:07] Betting on golf

[33:24] How does Rufus get NFL data?

[34:15] MLB data sets and umpire biases

[36:04] Rufus' Twitter feed, @RufusPeabody

[36:41] Rufus' Super Bowl betting process

[40:46] Is it more dangerous to bet on Belichick games?

[43:06] Did Rufus get as much money down as expected on the Super Bowl?
[46:47] Would Rufus use bet runners to get money down?

[47:36] Did Rufus ever consider betting on horse racing?

[49:05] How did Rufus' parents react to his career path?

[50:43] How does Rufus' career affect his relationship with his girlfriend?

SouthPointCasino.com
VideoPoker.com
Massey-Peabody.com

Gambling With an Edge - Super Bowl 2019

Our guests this week are Frank B. and Anthony Curtis.  We discuss the upcoming Super Bowl and opportunities for sharp bettors.

podcast
click to listen - alt click to download

Show Notes

[00:00] Introduction of sports bettor Frank B and Las Vegas Advisor/Huntington Press publisher Anthony Curtis.
[00:34] Did Frank and Anthony enter football contests together again this season?
[02:21] Frank and Anthony share their opinions about the Draft Kings contest.
[11:55] Frank's two phases of Super Bowl betting
[20:15] Coin toss bet and receive/defer decision discussion
[24:46] Betting "No Safety" and "No Overtime"
[29:37] Individual player props and Todd Gurley discussion
[35:42] South Point Casino - February promotions & free video poker classes
[36:46] VideoPoker.com - Game of the week "100-Play Draw Poker"
[38:17] Frank B's bridge jumper
[43:56] What are the best casinos to bet on the Super Bowl?
[48:44] Where would Anthony go to watch the Super Bowl in Vegas?
[51:53] How does Frank create numbers? James Harden cross-sports prop discussion

Sponsors
SouthPointCasino.com
VideoPoker.com/gwae

Gambling With an Edge - guest Ed Miller

Our guest this week is Ed Miller. We talk about DFS, sports betting, and in-game betting.


podcast
click to listen - alt click to download

Show Notes

[00:00] Introduction of Ed Miller, noted poker authority and sports bettor.
[00:26] Ed's sports betting articles in Card Player Magazine.
[03:13] Does Ed still play DFS?
[07:22] Draft Kings' Sports Betting Championship fiasco.
[11:40] In-play betting discussion.
[32:33] South Point Casino January Promotions: Spin to Win, Senior Days, and free video poker classes.
[34:34] VideoPoker.com: Game of the Week - "Face Card Frenzy."
[35:48] Remembering Gavin Smith.
[36:22] The NFL's new alternative helmet design.
[39:12] Does Ed agree with Spanky's assessment that sportsbooks in Vegas are not easily beaten?
[43:20] Does Ed bet prop bets?

EdMiller.com
SouthPointCasino.com
VideoPoker.com

Gambling With an Edge - Spanky

Our guest this week is a professional sports bettor, Spanky.  We discuss how Vegas books have changed, his interaction with Billy Walters, and how important getting a good line is.

 We welcome your questions - send them to us at gamblingwithanedge@gmail.com, or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter.

podcast
click to listen - alt click to download

Show Notes

[00:00] Intro of Spanky, a sports bettor
[00:30] How did Spanky start gambling?
[01:33] When did Spanky realize that he could make money gambling?
[07:28] How did people in Spanky’s life react to his transition into a professional gambler?
[09:34] Why did Spanky go to Costa Rica?
[12:36] Did Spanky initially also play in online casinos?
[20:24] Did UIGEA impact online sports betting?
[23:26] Is Spanky still able to find arbitrage opportunities?
[26:02] Why is Spanky more successful than other sports bettors?
[28:33] How well does Spanky know Billy Walters?
[32:55] Did Spanky ever develop betting bots?
[34:38] South Point Casino - January Promotions and Free Video Poker Classes
[40:38] Does Spanky make in-game bets?
[42:18] What advice does Spanky have for aspiring sports bettors?
[46:46] What sports betting books does Spanky recommend?
[48:20] What sports does Spanky bet? What sports does he avoid?
[50:43] Do games with less media coverage have higher edges?
[55:14] Spanky’s secrets to a happy life.


Books:
Robbing the One Armed Bandits - https://amzn.to/2BUNj2u
Sharp Sports Betting - https://amzn.to/2Q53Zyd
Conquering Risk - https://amzn.to/2COODFN

Sponsors
SouthPointCasino.com
VideoPoker.com/gwae

Gambling With an Edge - guest Captain Jack

Our guest this week is Captain Jack.  Captain Jack is a sports bettor and GWAE columnist, and we discuss how sports betting is proliferating in numerous states following the repeal of the PASPA law.

podcast
Click to listen - Alt-click to download

Show Notes

[00:00] Intro of Captain Jack
[00:30] What is Captain Jack's opinion of sports betting in states that recently legalized sports betting?
[01:52] Sports betting promotions that have a positive expectation.
[03:30] Are there sports betting apps in New Jersey?
[05:03] Are the lines in New Jersey identical to lines in Las Vegas?
[06:02] Are soccer prices different between the U.S. and Europe?
[07:06] What other states are soon going to have legalized sports betting?
[09:30] How would someone know if their home state is good for sports betting?
[13:58] Why is Louisiana facing more opposition to gambling than Mississippi?
[15:30] What will September sports betting in New Jersey revenue be?
[19:14] How is online gambling doing relative to online sports betting in New Jersey?
[20:15] What is the online gambling revenue in New Jersey?
[21:26] Is it wise to ban skilled sports bettors? Does this happen in New Jersey?
[25:02] Why hasn't BetFair done better?
[28:33] The FanDuel Denver vs Oakland live-betting line error incident.
[34:11] Southpoint October promotions
[35:08] AutoSlash saved Bob time and money.
[36:33] VideoPoker.com promotions
[38:30] What makes a winning sports bettor?
[44:20] How smart are sports betting APs?
[46:52] Reconciling historical data, rule changes, and small sample size.
[51:11] Discussion of sports tout and affiliate services.
[55:35] Captain Jack's column on Gambling with an Edge
[57:55] Captain Jack's Twitter @CapJack2000

AutoSlash - http://autoslash.com

SouthPoint Casino - https://southpointcasino.com/

VideoPoker.com - https://www.videopoker.com/gwae

Gambling With an Edge - Super Bowl 2018

Our guests this week are Frank B. and Anthony Curtis. We discuss this week's super bowl, and talk about proposition bets. We focus not just on good bets to make, but more importantly on how sharp players think and analyze bets in order to get an edge.

podcast
Click to listen - alt click to download

Show Notes

[00:37] http://fivethirtyeight.com/

[02:04] How does public's sentiment apply to bettors? Getting an advantage over the over-reacting public

[07:13] Betting props: who would be some of the more interesting players for New England?

[11:33] The effect of specific players in the New England Super Bowl

[16:58] Cross sports prop bets and the basic strategy

[29:31] The value on the rushing yards for the quarterbacks

[32:19] Betting no safety, no overtime, and no 2 point conversions, no 3 point margin of victory (bridge jumper bet of sorts)

[42:18] Over/Under on field goals

[45:13] Market Efficiency and the basic strategy for sports betting

[47:51] Interesting off the wall props this year

Gambling With an Edge - guest Anthony Curtis

Our guest this week is Anthony Curtis, owner of The Las Vegas Advisor and Huntington Press publishing.  We discuss NFL contests, and current Vegas news.

podcast

Click to listen.  Alt click to download

Show Notes

[00:37] A successful poker & VP player wants to start counting cards. How should he start?

[03:15] Do you have to pay outstanding markers if the casino isn’t actively collecting it?

[06:30] Anthony’s take on Cromwell Casino’s competing via better gambling opportunities

[14:03] What makes a great game?

[15:01] Low price rooms disappearing on the Strip

[18:55] The Comp City slot app

[25:24] Football contest 2017

[30:54] Mayweather vs McGregor 

[40:31] Why is the money in shoes when the DD games offer better odds?

[44:07] How do you know when to play 2 hands?

[48:20] Comp City app and new gambling books coming out

Olaf Vancura - Knock-Out Blackjack: http://amzn.to/2wadccT

Arnold Snyder - Blackbelt in blackjack: http://amzn.to/2wBtA7v

Casino Verite: http://amzn.to/2xF6gmd

Rick Blaine -  Blackjack Blueprint: http://amzn.to/2ggQpqr

Bryce Carlson Blackjack for Blood: http://amzn.to/2wAwNUK

Standford Wong Professional Black Jack: http://amzn.to/2vjfJmk

Jeff Hwang episodes: 

https://www.lasvegasadvisor.com/gambling-with-an-edge/gambling-with-edge-guest-jeff-hwang-on

https://www.lasvegasadvisor.com/gambling-with-an-edge/gambling-with-edge-guest-jeff-hwang-2

Jeff Hwang article: https://www.fool.com/investing/2016/09/20/the-millennial-problem-the-problem-with-the-casino.aspx

LVA casino: https://play.lasvegasadvisor.com/account/login/

Gambling With an Edge - Super Bowl 2017

Our guests this week are Frank B. and Anthony Curtis. We discuss this week's super bowl, and talk about proposition bets, as well as some good places to watch the game.

podcast

Click to listen - Alt click to download

Gambling With an Edge - guests Anthony Curtis & Frank B.

Our guests this week are Anthony Curtis & Frank B. We talk about Caesars new move to start charging for parking, how they fared in this year's NFL contests, and football betting in general.

 podcast 

Click to listen Alt click to download

Gambling With an Edge - guests Frank B & Mike Shackleford - Super Bowl 2016 edition

The guests this week are Mike Shackleford of wizardofodds.com, and Frank B of LVA Sports. We talk about Super Bowl prop bets, and current gambling news. 

podcast

Click to listen - Alt click to download