I have two distinct lives. One in the trenches of low-budget film and television, the other in professional gambling. Because of the feast-or-famine nature of show business I need a reliable income... gambling. So here you will read about both worlds. Enjoy!

Thursday, October 15, 2020

Gambling With an Edge - guest Matt of PlusEVanalytics part 2

Our guest this week is a return visit from Matt of Some of the topics discussed include pointsbet, which is a newcomer to American sports books. We also talk about correlated parlays, why you should never use a tout, and the difference in US and Canadian sports betting. 

We welcome your questions - send them to us at, or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter or

Click to listen - Alt click to download

Show Notes

[00:00]  Introduction of Matt, a Canadian actuary, from

[00:35]  What is a points better?

[02:25]  Skewness and asymmetric distributions

[03:23]  Caps in a points bet

[04:51]  Player prop distributions

[06:11]  Required collateral

[07:26]  Market efficiency 

[09:11]  Canadian sports betting markets

[14:06]  U.S. tax issues for foreign gamblers


[19:00]  Positive EV situations on 

[24:14]  South Point Casino October Promotions - Free Play with a Kicker


[25:32] - card counting website and community

[26:21] - Gold Membership offers correction on most games

[27:21]  Pricing counterparty risk

[29:11]  Promotion stories 

[32:54]  Tesla Model S

[34:54]  Correlated parlays 

[40:31]  Domestic versus offshore sports betting

[42:18]  Touts

[48:50]  How can listeners contact Matt?

[49:38]  Recommended - 99 Second Story Telling Contest, My Octopus Teacher, RX Gamble 

Guest links:

Sponsored Links:


99 Second Story Grand Slam

My Octopus Teacher

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